Dry times for Maine through the weekend while Hurricane Jose churns off the Bahamas

No real rain anytime soon

High pressure and northwest to southeast zonal flow appear to dominate the area’s weather pattern over the next several days. Temperatures appear to be slightly warmer than normal until late week. At that point the mercury is expected close to where it should be for this part of September

Remnants of Irma a non-factor

After dumping an estimated 17 trillion gallons of rain over the southeastern United States,the remnants of Hurricane Irma may bring an isolated shower over extreme southern and far western areas on Thursday into early Friday. What is left of any upper level energy from the historic storm is likely to washout over Southern New England. As a result it appears to shut large majority of Maine out of any beneficial rain.

A weak frontal boundary may bring an isolated shower to the far northern crown of the state Saturday. Other than that, the next chance for a shower activity appears to be on Tuesday.

Forecast outlook for southern and eastern areas

Forecast outlook for the mountains and north

Expect areas of early morning patchy fog around lakes and rivers that will burn off quickly to start off most of the days in the forecast period.

Hurricane Jose Update 

Jose continues to meander offshore of the Bahamas and drift eastward Tuesday as a Category 1 hurricane, and is expected to weaken to tropical storm status until Thursday when favorable conditions for strengthening occur.

The storm has been riddled by wind shear since Irma’s landfall and will continue to through Wednesday.

While most model ensembles and operational models appear to steer the storm out to sea away from the United States east coast, it is still a bit too early to know for sure if the storm will have any direct coastal impacts.

The cyclone is without any strong upper level steering for now, which is making the forecast for the storm difficult to figure beyond the five day forecast window.

At this point, confidence is good that the storm will have minimal effect on Maine.

For the most current information from the National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

-Mike Haggett

For official forecast information: please check in with National Weather Service Gray for Western & Southern Maine and National Weather Service Caribou for Eastern & Northern Maine.

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Special thanks to Tropical Tidbits and Pivotal Weather for their written permission to use their graphics in this post. Use of WeatherTAP images used within their written permitted terms of media use policy. Additional forecast information supplied by the National Weather Service, WeatherBELL Analytics and AccuWeather Professional.

Always Stay Weather Aware!

Mike Haggett

About Mike Haggett

As a Mainer for nearly five decades, Mike understands all too well the ever changing weather forecasts and surprises given the location and geography of the state. Spending much of his time as child outdoors fishing in all four seasons, keeping track of the weather was a must for personal safety. Living firsthand through the impacts of weather through many types of storms and phenomena, the idea came to mind for him to analyze it closer in 2011.